The SEC is short on experienced quarterbacks entering the 2015 season. But of the teams with known commodities at QB, no one is in a better situation than Mississippi State, with Dak Prescott running the offense.
Prescott graded positively overall last season (+3.0 in 955 snaps) while leading the Bulldogs to a 10-3 record and breaking several school records in the process. However, he actually graded negatively as a passer, making much better use of his running ability than his arm to move the offense.
His passing problems included a penchant for forcing the ball and at times misreading coverage, especially early in the season and when blitzed. Among his worst examples include passes in Weeks 1 and 2 against Southern Miss (2nd quarter, 9:28) and UAB (2nd quarter, 2:47). But he still managed a 100.8 QB rating and finished the season with an exceptional performance in the team’s bowl game against Georgia Tech, grading at +7.2 overall. Prescott was at his best when throwing downfield — only nine QBs in the country with at least 60 deep attempts (20+ yards) posted a better accuracy percentage than his 45.5 percent.
Combined with another offseason of training under his belt, it’s likely that we’ll see a sizeable improvement from Prescott in the passing game. Not to mention, he’ll have the help of a 6-foot-5 wide receiver De’Runnya Wilson, one of the best players in college football. Last season Wilson posted the ninth-best receiving rating among his peers while reaching the end zone nine times in only 549 snaps.
Two teams that appear to be best-positioned to supplant Mississippi State as the SEC team with the best QB situation are Tennessee and Auburn. The Volunteers have a dynamic young dual-threat QB in Joshua Dobbs who could be in line to make a jump this season, although he was far more effective as a runner than he was a passer last season. The Tigers’ Jeremy Johnson is receiving a lot of preseason hype, and he was very impressive in our grading last season in limited action. He completed more than 75 percent of his passes and posted a +2.7 grade in 85 snaps.