Baldwin a top DFS bargain for Week 14

Dave Pratt gives his DFS value plays for Week 14 of the NFL season.

| 2 years ago
(AP Photo/Elaine Thompson)

(AP Photo/Elaine Thompson)

Baldwin a top DFS bargain for Week 14

Last week’s value picks did well. Ben Roethlisberger finished fifth among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring. Both DeAngelo Williams and David Johnson finished tied for seventh among running backs. Doug Baldwin finished sixth. Devante Parker caught three-of-four targets for 63 yards and a touchdown. Scott Chandler finished fifth among tight ends.

After sorting through this week’s price sheets, I’ve found some valuable players for our Week 14 rosters. As I have done every week, I used my prediction models—which I’ve written about in the past—to find the players with the most value at each position on all three major DFS sites. I also accounted for injuries and matchups when I made my picks.

Most of the well-known fantasy studs and superstars have been excluded. Even though I think many of them have a lot of value this week, I don’t think it’s necessary to explain why.

Now, lets dive into some of my most value picks for Week 14. I’ve included many of the players’ projected floor and ceiling scores (PPR). They give us clear indication of who has good GPP potential (high ceiling), and who should be used primarily in cash games (high floor). The prices listed below each player are the ones I consider to be a good values this week.


Alex Smith vs San Diego

In the past two games, Smith threw four touchdowns and rushed for another. For the season, he has a 14:3 touchdown-to-inception ratio, and averages 27 rushing yards per game. He’s 15th among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring this season.

He has a great matchup this week. The Chargers defense is rated 30th overall (-74.2), and has allowed an average of 27 points per game to opponents. Smith’s legs give him a nice floor of eight points; his ceiling is 32. He’s a nice cash-game value play this week.

DraftKings: $5,100

FanDuel: $6,800

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Dave Pratt, DPT, is PFF Fantasy’s injury expert. Follow him on Twitter @PFF_DavePratt

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