2015 Depth Charts: Jacksonville Jaguars

| 2 years ago

2015 Depth Charts: Jacksonville Jaguars


JAX DC

Notes

•  Blake Bortles struggled as a rookie, with the lowest graded first season of any quarterback since Blaine Gabbert. He did look good in preseason however, so the big thing will be seeing how he can improve in 2015.

•  Last season the Jaguars had three running backs see at least 300 snaps on the field. What they need in 2015 is to find someone who can really stand out at the position, with nobody doing that in 2014.

•  Though he filled a limited role, Ryan Davis was excellent when he was on the field, finishing the season with eight sacks which was tied for second on the Jaguars defense.

•  While there are plenty of question marks on the offense, right guard Brandon Linder is emerging as one of the better guards in the league, finishing the season as the sixth-highest graded right guard.

Team Needs

Linebacker: Telvin Smith was solid in 2014 at several positions, but outside of him there are plenty of question marks at linebacker. Paul Posluszny struggled in 2014 prior to his injury, while we haven’t seen enough of the other outside linebackers to tell how effective they can be yet.

Free Safety: While he wasn’t outstanding, John Cyprien improved in 2015 after a poor rookie season. That should give him some more time to prove he deserves his spot in the starting lineup. Josh Evans has struggled at free safety though and a replacement via free agency or the draft would make sense.

Running Back: As mentioned above, though they had three players with 300 or more snaps at running back in 2014, nobody really stood out. Finding a player who can carry the load would make a big difference in 2015.

 

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| Analyst, Lead Special Teams Analyst

Gordon has worked at PFF since 2011, and now heads up the company’s special teams analysis processes. His work in-season focuses on college football, while he is also heavily involved in PFF’s NFL draft coverage.

  • Chris

    Haven’t seen this much orange since the last Tennessee game I went to.

  • Shad Khan

    Denard Robinson didn’t stand out?

    • Jaguars28

      Linder and Bowanko paved the way for him, although I’d give him a green grade as a runner. His orange probably comes as a receiver and blocker.

      • Shad Khan

        Linder was great… but I don’t think you can say this line did Shoelace any favors. I was really impressed with how Shoelace produced not just on outside runs, but also in between the tackles.

        He may be shit in pass protection, but with the way he ran in the 3-week stretch where he was 2nd only to Demarco Murray in rushing yards, he deserves at least yellow, if not light green.

  • Tyler Ferree

    This one probably should be retitled thin chart, 5 light green (with special teams) and 1 dark green, ouch i mean half of the projected starters are orange.

  • Chris

    9 months ago — Today

    Bryant: Good — Average
    Clemons: Good — Bel. Avg.

    Shows how much teammates have an influence on grades.

    • Jaguars28

      Bryant is more of a product of rushing the passer more, where he struggles. He’s still extremely strong against the run, and we should rotate him with a superior edge rusher next year.

      • Chris

        I was all in favor of these two pickups last year. I thought Bryant could be a great early down run-stuffer and Clemons could come on in passing downs to provide a little value. Looks like they just used both too much?

        • Jaguars28

          Indeed, although I think age caught up to Clemons a bit.

          He did look improved in the second half however, which leads me to believe he was playing injured.

    • Izach

      Very very true, I think PFF has even mentioned this before grading is looked at individually but very hard to seperate roles/scheme as well as individual assignments and players “picking up slack” because team as a whole isn’t good. I personally notice it a lot with LBs. This affect also goes both ways. Sometimes a player looks good because they are making all the plays for the team simply because no one else can. Other times because he has cover for others look like he messed up the play when scheme wise it wasn’t even his play to make. Other way around a player on a good team might not get the opportunities he would as the “star” on a worse team, or with a limited role he can concentrate on what he’s good at and avoid what he’s bad at. Works both ways in each scenario and is very hard to tell sometimes

  • Jaguars28

    Hate to say it, cause I’m a Jags fan, but the Jacksonville bias is strong with this one.

    Telvin should be green, McCray should be green (4th in YPCS), Bowanko should be yellow (strong in the run game), Will T should be green, and Davis should be dark green.

    Maybe Colvin green as well? I know we were 3-13, but that is quite misleading IMO. DC has accumulated lots of great talent through the draft. I’d give him through at least 2016, and hopefully beyond.

    • Chris

      I’ll play devil’s advocate.

      Telvin was a rookie with average grades across the board. Nothing about his profile screams Good except potential, which they don’t factor into this. It’s all about past performance.

      I’ll agree McCray seems to rank pretty well in the 3 ‘per cover snap’ metrics. He wasn’t targeted very often and he didn’t give up a lot of yards. But he wasn’t in the top 20 for QB Rating, and he didn’t play a lot of snaps. Plus his overall grades were average at best.

      Bowanko was not a strong run blocker. Going by grades, he was average as a run blocker and below average as a pass blocker. He also had some pretty ugly games.

      What exactly has Ta’ufo’ou done? He’s graded barely above average in the 2 years he’s actually seen snaps.

      Davis was purely a subpackage, situational rusher. He actually logged more snaps at DT than DE despite being only 260lbs, so you know he wasn’t on the field for running downs. Sure he was a productive rusher, but he didn’t qualify at either position because of his low snap count. Also players have trouble transitioning great play as situational players to full-time roles. Good seems fair now, especially for a former CFA who barely played prior to this year. If he does it again maybe he’ll get bumped up to Great.

      Colvin didn’t play enough qualifying snaps either, and his grades are purely average at best. Again a 4th round rookie may improve in his second year, but that’s purely speculation. Based on his game log I’d grade him Average, but they apparently decided they hadn’t seen enough of him to get a true representation yet.

      • Jaguars28

        I appreciate the response Chris, but I disagree with some of your points.

        Telvin’s raw stats look impressive (104 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT), but his play impressed me more watching him. He looked good against the run (Jags surrendered 4.1 YPC), and the defense improved after he became a starter (22.4 PPG after Cleveland, 30.3 PPG before it)

        McCray is even more confusing. So he’s 4th best in YPCS but graded negatively in coverage? Isn’t that a contradiction?

        Bowanko graded at +1.4 in the run game, as Gordon said. He did struggle in some games, but he and Linder helped pave the way for a run game that gained 4.5 YPC. With two below-average running backs.

        Colvin played well enough to warrant good IMO. The defense gave up only 213 passing yards per game after he entered the lineup.

        • Chris

          1. Raw stats, especially tackles, are not indicative of true performance. That’s the entire point of this website. The truth is Telvin graded average across the board. Yes he could develop, but as of right now he’s average because that’s all he’s shown. Also you can’t use team metrics to justify individual performance. That’s like using Super Bowls to measure QBs.

          2. Another classic case of statistics providing misleading information. I feel like they should abandon all ‘real stats’ altogether and just post grades and then like how many positive plays, neutral plays, and negative plays each player had. They build a grading system that is supposed to go beyond the ‘real stats’ and tell the real story. But then they post the ‘real stats’ right next to the grades. All the ‘real stats’ do is confuse people.

          I’d be more than willing to bet they could provide a player audit that would substantiate McCray’s average grades despite his seemingly above average cover snap metrics. So yes it is a contradiction, but as they say frequently, the best measure of performance is the grades. And by grades he was average.

          3. +1.4 in run blocking is average. He was in the bottom third in pass blocking. Based on that profile it would be just to call him Below Average. And again using team metrics isn’t a good way to evaluate individual performance.

          4. Team metrics. I agree with Gordon – per his individual grades he was average at best, and he didn’t have enough snaps to qualify.

          • Jaguars28

            Fair enough. I have a couple of questions for you.

            The Jags were 9th in YPC (4.5). They were tied for 11th in yards given up per carry (4.1). They were 12th in passing touchdowns against (24).

            How could they be above-average in those categories with such a poor roster?

          • Chris

            Without looking or having watched too many of the games…

            Their passing game was atrocious. A decent run game can be derailed by a simple incompletion, especially on 3rd down, and they had plenty of those.

            On defense it’s as, their defense was on the field A TON. With such an inefficient offense constantly keeping the defense on the field, it doesn’t matter that they were 11th in YPC allowed. They were constantly bleeding yards and constantly put in terrible field position by their offense.

            The defense is really not all that bad and with a more efficient offense they would probably be at least average. They’ve definitely done some things right on that side of the ball lately. The offense has just been such a total disaster that it’s hard to tell.

    • Gordon McGuinness

      Colvin is one we were on the fence about being unknown or not, but I don’t think we saw enough of him. Based on what we saw he would have been yellow at best, but that’s more of a guess than anything else, hence the unknown tag.

      Davis played 310 snaps. Yes, he was good on those snaps, but he wasn’t anything more than a very good role player in 2014. If he performs like that in a bigger role, he’s absolutely dark green, but it would be generous on 310 snaps.

      McCray graded negatively in coverage, not by much, so average is the right call there in my opinion.

      Will Ta’ufo’ou was light green if you’re looking at the second half of the season only, but that’s really the first time he’s looked that good so anything more than average would be getting ahead of ourselves.

      Bowanko had a +1.7 grade against the run which isn’t earth shattering, and he struggled in pass pro, hence Average.

      Smith had a nice stretch in the middle of the season but ultimately his season was average as he faded down the stretch. I do like him as a player though and would expect him to grow in the coming years.

      • Chris

        Appreciate the response. Love to hear this sort of insight.

      • Jaguars28

        You said Bowanko was average, but he’s below average on the chart.

        I appreciate the response, but I’m still baffled by how McCray can have a negative grade in coverage when he was tops in the league in Yards Per Coverage Snap.

        • Gordon McGuinness

          Apologies, meant Below Average, would have been Average if not for his struggles as a run blocker. With McCray, there were a fair few incompletions where he wasn’t actually responsible for the incompletion being the end result (overthrows, underthrows, dropped passes). Those things bring a player’s grade down but they aren’t captured by stats.

  • PetEng

    At least the special teams units is all light green?

    • Jaguars28

      They get a lot of practice.

      • Chris

        LMAO

      • mutzki

        That 3rd round pick they used on Bryan Anger sure worked out nice. He is one of the best for them.

  • Riffle,Rod&Fly

    I find myself pulling for this team to get the no. 1 pick year after year. It’s a sad state to be in.

  • Tom Downes

    What gives with this organization? Is it bad drafting, bad FA signings, bad coaching, bad GM, bad owner or all of the above. I know Blackmon has been worse than a bust at this point, but drafting at their position every year should yield more than they have now. For a few years there in the mid 2000’s my Pat’s played them almost every year in the first round of the playoffs.

    • Jaguars28

      2005 and 2007 were built through great drafting great coaching, and good QB play. We haven’t been the same since 2011- hmm, I wonder why?

      But I think we’re on the upswing.

  • Vitor

    As someone who didn’t watch a single game of Jacksonville last season, but as a fantasy player who saw almost every week in the “waiver wire pickups” columns a WR of the Jaguars, are they all that bad? Isn’t Bortles’ or the offensive scheme’s fault?

    • Jaguars28

      A little of both. Bortles should improve under Greg Olson’s tutelage, however.

    • DLane

      I actually liked Allen Robinson before the injury

  • NAJ

    Yikes! 1 v good and 5 good, with 3 of those special teams. Last years rookies need to step up bigtime next season

  • Tom Downes

    WTF, this staff could not find a single guy from the last couple of drafts to at least hit light green? Joeckel was #2 overall and Bortles was what, #3 or 4. For a team this poor to not even find someone to make the roster and be a major contributor year after year is criminal. Cripes, the Pat’s find guys no one has heard of to develop and contribute (Edelman & Malcolm Butler) on a loaded team year after year.

    • Jaguars28

      Uhh… Brandon Linder? No need to brag about the Pats, BTW

      • Tom Downes

        I have no idea who he is, but is all the yellow and orange because those not under contract were more on the green side? Don’t mean to say Pat’s are superior, they make mistakes but with the NFL state these days of win now, there seem to be a whole lot of mistakes. This usually comes because coaching staffs have 1-3 years to turn things around and take a lot of risks.

        • Chris

          It’s easier to find hidden gems later in the draft/undrafted guys when you have a very solid roster elsewhere. But when you have a talent deficient roster like Jacksonville’s, these later round gems aren’t given the opportunity to stand out.

          How many other secondaries could Butler step into and play well? You think if Atlanta picked him up that he’d have played so well? Quality of teammates is SO important.

          Yes the Pats have drafted well. But they also hit it REALLY BIG with some guys (like Brady) that make everyone else’s job easier.

          And how can you not know who Linder is?

    • DLane

      Malcolm Butler? Really? Bortles played 1 year lets be fair. This team trending up and i myself like the direction they are going. I see them making ice adjustments in FA as well. Mb they land Suh

  • Brian

    About Ryan Davis. I know he’s listed as a defensive end, but he does a lot of his damage on the inside in sub-package. If he were to get a larger role, how do you think he’d be used?

  • philipmatsikoudis

    Why hasn’t Luke Joeckel performed up to snuff?

  • philipmatsikoudis

    As the season progresses Telvin Smith will turn Green & make people cry.