Fantasy: Divisional round projections

January 12th, 2011 | Author: Mike Clay

Below are our player projections for the second round of the 2011 NFL playoffs.

Everything is pretty straightforward, but you’ll notice that touchdowns are not in the form of a whole number. What you’re seeing here is the percent chance the player has to score if he reaches his projected number of touches. For example, Greg Jennings is projected for 8 targets and shows a 0.69 in the ‘Receiving TD’ column. This means that, should he reach 8 targets, he has an 69% chance of scoring a touchdown in the game.

Rk	Tm	Pos	Player	Com	Att	Yds	TD	INT	Car	Yds	TD	Targ	Rec	Yds	TD	PPR
1	GB	QB	Aaron Rodgers	25	36	300	2	1	4	19	0.23					25
2	CHI	QB	Jay Cutler	20	33	267	2	1	4	15	0.11					23
3	NE	QB	Tom Brady	18	33	237	2	0	2	5	0.05					21
4	PIT	QB	Ben Roethlisberger	21	35	257	1	1	3	13	0.13					18
5	NYJ	QB	Mark Sanchez	22	37	255	1	1	2	5	0.10					17
6	BAL	QB	Joe Flacco	22	36	251	1	1	2	4	0.06					15
7	ATL	QB	Matt Ryan	21	35	223	1	1	3	8	0.05					15
8	SEA	QB	Matt Hasselbeck	22	36	232	0	1	2	7	0.09					10
1	CHI	RB	Matt Forte						16	71	0.44	5	4	41	0.19	16
2	BAL	RB	Ray Rice						15	43	0.07	6	5	39	0.07	13
3	NYJ	RB	LaDainian Tomlinson						12	50	0.34	6	4	30	0.16	13
4	PIT	RB	Rashard Mendenhall						18	70	0.48	3	2	13	0.05	11
5	ATL	RB	Michael Turner						20	82	0.41	1	1	6	0.00	10
6	NYJ	RB	Shonn Greene						13	58	0.31	2	1	11	0.05	9
7	NE	RB	Danny Woodhead						8	36	0.30	4	2	26	-0.02	8
8	NE	RB	BenJarvus Green-Ellis						16	61	0.70	2	1	9	-0.01	8
9	SEA	RB	Marshawn Lynch						14	50	0.58	2	1	10	0.03	8
10	ATL	RB	Jason Snelling						6	23	0.09	4	3	20	0.00	7
11	SEA	RB	Justin Forsett						4	17	0.11	4	3	19	0.06	7
12	GB	RB	Brandon Jackson						4	17	0.07	3	3	20	0.06	7
13	GB	RB	James Starks						13	52	0.33	1	1	4	0.01	6
14	CHI	RB	Chester Taylor						8	24	0.20	2	2	15	0.06	6
15	PIT	RB	Mewelde Moore						2	6	0.01	2	2	13	0.04	4
16	BAL	RB	Willis McGahee						6	15	0.19	1	1	7	0.03	4
17	BAL	RB	Le'Ron McClain						1	2	0.01	2	1	10	0.02	3
18	GB	RB	John Kuhn						3	10	0.10	1	1	7	0.02	3
19	PIT	RB	Isaac Redman						3	11	0.05	1	1	4	0.01	2
20	ATL	RB	Ovie Mughelli						1	2	0.01	1	1	6	0.01	2
21	SEA	RB	Michael Robinson						0	1	0.01	1	0	3	0.01	1
22	SEA	RB	Leon Washington						1	4	0.03	0	0	2	0.01	1
23	NYJ	RB	John Conner						0	1	0.01	0	0	2	0.01	1
24	GB	RB	Quinn Johnson						0	0	0.00	0	0	2	0.01	0
25	NE	RB	Fred Taylor						1	5	0.05	0	0	0	0.00	0
1	NYJ	TE	Dustin Keller									7	4	57	0.44	13
2	ATL	TE	Tony Gonzalez									7	5	49	0.52	13
3	BAL	TE	Todd Heap									6	3	47	0.30	10
4	CHI	TE	Greg Olsen									5	3	31	0.37	9
5	NE	TE	Aaron Hernandez									5	2	36	0.36	8
6	PIT	TE	Heath Miller									6	3	37	0.14	8
7	NE	TE	Rob Gronkowski									4	2	28	0.36	7
8	GB	TE	Andrew Quarless									3	2	19	0.17	5
9	SEA	TE	John Carlson									4	2	18	0.01	4
10	SEA	TE	Cameron Morrah									3	2	16	0.04	3
11	ATL	TE	Justin Peelle									1	1	7	0.08	2
12	BAL	TE	Ed Dickson									1	1	7	0.04	2
13	GB	TE	Donald Lee									1	1	4	0.08	1
14	GB	TE	Tom Crabtree									1	1	6	0.05	1
15	PIT	TE	Matt Spaeth									1	1	5	0.02	1
16	CHI	TE	Brandon Manumaleuna									1	0	4	0.05	1
17	NYJ	TE	Ben Hartsock									0	0	2	0.01	0
18	NE	TE	Alge Crumpler									0	0	2	0.02	0
1	GB	WR	Greg Jennings						0	0	0.00	8	5	86	0.69	18
2	ATL	WR	Roddy White						0	0	0.00	11	6	79	0.45	17
3	PIT	WR	Mike Wallace						0	2	0.01	7	4	79	0.60	16
4	CHI	WR	Johnny Knox						0	0	0.00	8	4	74	0.53	15
5	NYJ	WR	Santonio Holmes						0	0	0.00	8	5	64	0.51	14
6	SEA	WR	Ben Obomanu						0	1	0.01	8	5	71	0.31	14
7	NE	WR	Wes Welker						0	0	0.00	8	5	54	0.52	14
8	BAL	WR	Anquan Boldin						0	0	0.00	8	5	58	0.38	13
9	NYJ	WR	Braylon Edwards						0	0	0.00	7	4	61	0.41	12
10	CHI	WR	Earl Bennett						0	0	0.00	6	4	52	0.45	12
11	BAL	WR	Derrick Mason						0	0	0.00	7	4	50	0.35	11
12	SEA	WR	Mike Williams						0	0	0.00	9	5	60	0.02	11
13	PIT	WR	Hines Ward						0	0	0.00	7	4	50	0.32	11
14	NE	WR	Deion Branch						0	0	0.00	6	3	50	0.42	11
15	GB	WR	James Jones						0	0	0.00	6	4	49	0.33	10
16	GB	WR	Donald Driver						0	0	0.00	7	4	44	0.29	10
17	CHI	WR	Devin Hester						1	2	0.01	5	3	35	0.37	9
18	GB	WR	Jordy Nelson						0	0	0.00	5	3	42	0.10	8
19	PIT	WR	Emmanuel Sanders						0	0	0.00	5	3	39	0.17	8
20	ATL	WR	Michael Jenkins						0	0	0.00	6	3	37	0.10	7
21	SEA	WR	Brandon Stokley						0	0	0.00	5	3	36	0.01	7
22	NYJ	WR	Jerricho Cotchery						0	1	0.01	5	3	29	0.14	7
23	BAL	WR	T.J. Houshmandzadeh						0	0	0.00	4	2	29	0.14	6
24	NE	WR	Brandon Tate						0	0	0.00	3	1	24	0.18	5
25	ATL	WR	Harry Douglas						0	0	0.00	3	1	16	0.05	3
26	PIT	WR	Antonio Brown						0	0	0.00	2	1	13	0.07	3
27	NYJ	WR	Brad Smith						2	16	0.06	1	0	4	0.01	3
28	CHI	WR	Devin Aromashodu						0	0	0.00	1	1	9	0.07	2
29	ATL	WR	Brian Finneran						0	0	0.00	1	1	7	0.03	2
30	PIT	WR	Antwaan Randle El						0	0	0.00	1	1	6	0.03	1
31	SEA	WR	Ruvell Martin						0	0	0.00	1	1	8	0.02	1
32	NE	WR	Julian Edelman						0	0	0.00	1	1	6	0.04	1
33	BAL	WR	Donte' Stallworth						0	1	0.01	1	0	6	0.02	1
34	GB	WR	Brett Swain						0	0	0.00	1	0	5	0.02	1
35	SEA	WR	Golden Tate						0	0	0.00	1	0	4	0.01	1